Many Republicans think that Democrats are stupid. They just may be right. Sometimes, I think Democrats need to hear that. The Hillary/Obama controversy showcases this perceived stupidity more than most.
With the help of many conservatives, Hillary supporters have turned a proud time to be an American, into what could be one of the worst spectacles in United States political history. That is, if Hillary and/or her supporters do something spectacular during the campaign that helps lead to the defeat of Barack Obama.
Every political scientist knows it is a great year to be a Democrat (notice the difference between political scientist and political commentator, Rush Limbaugh is a commentator, he has no formal education or knowledge of political trends). If new polls are accurate, Barack Obama will win in a landslide if one simple thing occurs. That is, if those who voted for a Democrat during the primary season, vote for a Democrat in the general election.
Here are the numbers:
In 2004, over 122 million people voted in the Presidential election. George W. Bush received 62 million and John Kerry received 59 million. The latest RCP average of polls has Barack Obama slightly ahead of John McCain 45 percent to 44 percent. If the same amount of people vote in 2008 that voted in 2004 (which most believe it will be higher) then those percents translate to close to 55 million for Obama and close to 54 million for McCain. Polls have 30 percent of Hillary Clinton voters choosing to vote for John McCain over Barack Obama. Hillary Clinton received about 18 million votes so 30 percent of that is about 5.4 million.
That amount of people makes up about 4 percent of the voting population. If they throw their support behind Barack Obama, that gives him a lead of 49 to 40 in the polls. In other words, if Democratic voted Democratic, they'd control the country for the next 4 years, at least.
My only question is what did Barack Obama do? Maybe he took unfair shots at Hillary Clinton but, she did the same to him. Maybe he lacks experience as an elected official, but he has more than her. Maybe he doesn't speak specifically about how his policies, but he writes about them. Maybe there was sexism in the coverage, but so did racism (A note about that: Sexism and racism are still major problems in this country but related to this election think about how they came up. Which would you prefer, being the butt of a lame joke by Tucker Carlson or being the target of many white supremacists).
Bottom Line? Republicans know some Democrats are stupid. Karl Rove is dripping all over this story and if its the deciding factor, then we have stupid Hillary Democrats to blame for the problems in our country. Hillary Clinton almost won the nomination but, she didn't.
Rabbit
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
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